How We Measure Accuracy
Within 5 Disposals — Our primary accuracy metric. If we predict 24 disposals and the player gets 19-29, that's a hit.
We also track goals within 1 for goal predictions.
Every prediction is generated by our XGBoost machine learning model trained on 102,000+ player games, with betting edges calculated using 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per player.
Results are scraped automatically after each round and compared against our pre-game predictions. Nothing is edited after the fact.